Sunday, January 23, 2011

Uh-Oh.. That Sunspot Wasn't There Yesterday..

From Spaceweather: Sunspot Activity. (Sunday, Jan. 23, 2011) Excerpts:

New sunspot 1149, circled below, is crackling with C-class solar flares. This spot didn't exist barely a day ago, but now it is a growing sprawl more than 100,000 km across.

The magnetic field of sunspot 1149 is jumbled, with positive (+) polarity pressing against negative (-) polarity in many places. This could set the stage for magnetic reconnection and solar flares; NOAA forecasters estimate a 10% chance of strong M-class eruptions during the next 24 hours. Readers with solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor the region for explosive developments.

(Note: There was no mention if these potential flares would be earth directed or not.)

Couple the webbot data with Patrick Geryl's theory of "Solar Winding" on precisely the day predicted. If a big flare pops off, the possibility of forecasting sunspots becomes a bit clearer, and a little more concrete.. And a little ominous. If Geryl and the webbots are correct, solar activity is about to begin a serious uptick.

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