Saturday, November 27, 2010

Uh Oh..

Expats recalled as North Korea prepares for war

A mass exodus of North Korean workers from the Far East of Russia is under way, according to reports coming out of the region. As the two Koreas edged towards the brink of war this week, it appears that the workers in Russia have been called back to aid potential military operations.

Nothing coming out of the region suggests an easing of hostilities.  And there's still those pesky Military Exercises coming up..  What will happen next?

For Europe’s Future, Spain Is All That Matters

Another great analysis from Gonzalo Lira. Excerpts:

If I had to bet on which country will bring about the end of the Euro—and perhaps even the end of the European Union—I’d have to say it’s Spain.

Right now, no one is talking about Spain—Spanish spreads are as quiet as a guilty man in a police line-up—everyone’s too concerned over Ireland, and the upcoming Portuguese Situation.

But Spain is the key—Spain is what you should be paying attention to, if you want to find out what will happen to the European Monetary Union (EMU), and the European Union (EU) itself.
And:
According to IMF numbers for 2009, the gross domestic product of Greece was $331 billion, Ireland was $221 billion, and Portugal was $233 billion—

—but Spain’s GDP in 2009 was $1.468 trillion. Roughly twice Greece, Ireland and Portugal combined. In other words, close to half of Germany’s GDP.
And:
Therefore, to bail out Spain, and plug up its fiscal balance sheet hole over the next three years would cost €450 billion—minimum. That’s about $600 billion.

Look at that number again—look at it closely, and take your time:

€450 billion.(600 billion US)

That’s twice the size of Ireland’s total GDP for 2009.

In order to figure out how much each party would have to shoulder of this €450 billion price tag, Bruce Krasting, in some private e-mail exchanges, thought that the percentages that the EU, the ECB and the IMF were shouldering for the Greek and Irish bailouts could serve as a template.

Fair enough: If we go by Greek and Irish percentages, then roughly a third of that €450 billion price tag to bail out Spain would be shouldered by the IMF—and as everyone knows, the U.S. puts up 20% of IMF money.

So the U.S. would be on the line for €30 billion—$40 billion—to save Spain.

Then Bruce delivered his verdict: “The U.S. is going to say ‘Yes’ to that and ‘No’ to California? No way. Not going to happen with this new Congress."
And:
Therefore, the IMF’s participation in a Spanish bail-out will be severely reduced, if not marginal. Therefore, bailing out Spain will be a strictly European affair.

Does Europe have €450 billion to bail out Spain? That is, does Germany have €450 billion to bail out Spain?

No it does not. It does not have the money for such a bailout—and even if it did, it does not have the political will to push through such a bailout.

Period.
And Finally:
Best case?

Though they remain in the European Union, the weaker economies exit the EMU and go back to local currencies, which they quickly depreciate, while their Euro-denominated sovereign debts are restructured and paid off over time. The Euro becomes the currency of France, Germany, Holland, Finland and Austria.

Worst case?

I can imagine a number of worst cases, all of them different, except for one thing in common: They’ll all be bad.

So That's What That Was.. But The Tension's Still Escalating..

North Korea intensifies threats ahead of Korea-U.S. military exercise near Yeonpyeong Island slated for Sunday.   Excerpts:

Threatening "a shower of dreadful fire," North Korea warned Friday it will wipe out its enemies if its sovereignty is violated, raising already high tension after the communist country exchanged deadly artillery barrages with South Korea earlier this week.

 The warning by the North's Committee for the Peaceful Reunification of Korea is the latest and one of the strongest threats the North has issued since South Korea and the U.S. agreed to hold joint drills near the communist country in a show of force.

  Two South Korean marines and two civilians were killed in the artillery exchange between the Koreas on Tuesday in one of the most violent clashes on the peninsula since the 1950-53 Korean War.

North Korea, officially called the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), denies initiating the clash, warning it will mount additional attacks if its territorial waters are violated.
And:
Meanwhile, South Korea's military is checking reports of sounds of artillery fire around Yeonpyeong Island in the Yellow Sea border with North Korea, officials said. (Hence the "So that's what that was" reference..)

Joint Military Exercises with the U.S. start Sunday, so we've got that to look forward to..

Friday, November 26, 2010

Tensions Don't Seem To Be Easing, Do They?

'Artillery fire' heard near South Korea island  Pre War Excerpts:

South Korea's military said two explosions were heard on Friday and it was checking the source of the sounds.

The two blasts were heard off Yeonpyeong island near the disputed border in the Yellow Sea, a Joint Chiefs of Staff spokesman told AFP.

"We're checking the origin of the sounds," he said.

And:

Officials said “dozens” of artillery rounds had landed on Yeonpyeong Island at in the Yellow Sea, 50 miles off the South’s northwest coast in an area close to a disputed sea border.

Other reports suggested around 200 shells could have been fired in the attack which began at 2.34pm local time (7.34am GMT).

F-16 fighter jets were scrambled and South Korean land-based forces returned fire on the North as civilians were evacuated to emergency bunkers, according to witnesses quoted by the Seoul-based cable news television channel YTN.

If this turns out to be artillery fire, the Korean situation is rapidly blooming into Worldwide crisis.   Once again, timing(Global Debt Crisis)and associations(China) figure heavily into why this sabre rattling is so much more important than past border squabbles.  If we aren't already there, we're rapidly approaching the border of "One wrong move and it's over."

Reinventing Your Life, Your Profession, Your Relationships, and Your Purpose

From Robert Wilkinson at Aquarius Papers  In an article full of perfect passages, these are my two favorites:

So if you struggle with endings, of unknowns and apprehensions of what will or will not be, detach from the "not knowing" and contemplate your life as a timestream of experiences coaxing forth skills, strengths, realizations and talents throughout the difficulties and endings. You are an eternally evolving Consciousness, collecting forms of understanding to apply in your world the best you are able.

You have imagination and an ability to be creative in ways you've never known. You have a mind that when trained can easily cut through illusions and fears and express the strength of your heart's direct knowing. With an open mind and a strong heart you can move into unknown futures and find yourself doing your Being in excellent ways.

Read the whole thing.  Good stuff.

Thursday, November 25, 2010

Another Lost Chapter Of History Comes To Light..

Chinese villagers 'descended from Roman soldiers'  Excerpts:

Tests found that the DNA of some villagers in Liqian, on the fringes of the Gobi Desert in north-western China, was 56 per cent Caucasian in origin.

Many of the villagers have blue or green eyes, long noses and even fair hair, prompting speculation that they have European blood.

A local man, Cai Junnian, is nicknamed by his friends and relatives Cai Luoma, or Cai the Roman, and is one of many villagers convinced that he is descended from the lost legion. (Click the link and look at that picture.  That man looks European to me..)
..
The genetic tests have leant weight to the theory that Roman legionaries settled in the area in the first century BC after fleeing a disastrous battle.
..
Thousands of Romans were slaughtered and Crassus himself was beheaded, but some legionaries were said to have escaped the fighting and marched east to elude the enemy.

They supposedly fought as mercenaries in a war between the Huns and the Chinese in 36BC – Chinese chroniclers refer to the capture of a "fish-scale formation" of troops, a possible reference to the "tortoise" phalanx formation perfected by legionnaries. The wandering Roman soldiers are thought to have been released and to have settled on the steppes of western China.

The theory was first put forward in the 1950s by Homer Dubs, a professor of Chinese history at Oxford University.

We are what we are, but sometimes we discover that we are more or different than we think..

Massive Pyramid Complex Found? Bosnians Already Elated

Compelling news story from Houston's ABC affiliate about potentially THE biggest archaeological discovery EVER.  If correct, what we think we know of our ancient history all comes up for review.

Hopefully, as more discoveries are made, what we think we know regarding this existence will be obsolete..  And replaced with something much more fantastical and genuine very soon.  Here's hoping..

Wednesday, November 24, 2010

This Is Most Assuredly Not Awesome..

China, Russia quit dollar.  Excerpts/Italics:

St. Petersburg, Russia - China and Russia have decided to renounce the US dollar and resort to using their own currencies for bilateral trade, Premier Wen Jiabao and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin announced late on Tuesday.

Chinese experts said the move reflected closer relations between Beijing and Moscow and is not aimed at challenging the dollar, but to protect their domestic economies.
..
The yuan has now started trading against the Russian rouble in the Chinese interbank market, while the renminbi will soon be allowed to trade against the rouble in Russia, Putin said.
And:
Wen said Beijing is willing to boost cooperation with Moscow in Northeast Asia, Central Asia and the Asia-Pacific region, as well as in major international organizations and on mechanisms in pursuit of a "fair and reasonable new order" in international politics and the economy.

Sun Zhuangzhi, a senior researcher in Central Asian studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said the new mode of trade settlement between China and Russia follows a global trend after the financial crisis exposed the faults of a dollar-dominated world financial system.

Pang Zhongying, who specializes in international politics at Renmin University of China, said the proposal is not challenging the dollar, but aimed at avoiding the risks the dollar represents.

This is some pretty dire news.  The systems and relationships propping up the Dollar-as-World-Currency are failing, one by one, and soon, it'll be too big to ignore.  But for now, take solace in Bristol Palin flaming out on Dancing With The Stars.  No need to think about a plan of action just yet, right?

Oh; It's On! Or Not, Not Really, Or Maybe It Is?

US Aircraft Carrier Heads for Korean Waters

A U.S. aircraft carrier headed toward the Korean peninsula on Wednesday, a day after North Korea launched dozens of artillery shells on a South Korean island.

The nuclear-powered USS George Washington, which carries 75 warplanes and has a crew of over 6,000, left a naval base south of Tokyo on Wednesday morning and would join exercises with South Korea from Sunday to the following Wednesday, U.S. officials in Seoul said.

"This exercise is defensive in nature," U.S. Forces Korea said in a statement. "While planned well before yesterday's unprovoked artillery attack, it demonstrates the strength of the ROK (South Korea)-U.S. alliance and our commitment to regional stability through deterrence."

China came under heavy pressure to rein in North Korea after its reclusive ally fired dozens of artillery shells at the South Korean island, killing two South Korean soldiers and setting houses ablaze in the heaviest attack on its neighbor since the Korean War ended in 1953.
...
"We're in a semi state of war," South Korean coastguard Kim Dong-jin told Reuters in the port city of Incheon where many residents of Yeonpyeong island fled in panic as the bombardment triggered a fire storm.
..
South Korea, its armed forces technically superior though about half the size of the North's one-million-plus army, warned of "massive retaliation" if its neighbor attacked again.

Sounds like South Korea has had enough.  Two things set this apart from normal North/South squabbling:  The heaviest attack since 1953 and on a completely domestic target (they'll count as one), and the particular timing of this event.  Any escalation on the Korean peninsula will impact an already fragile, swaying world market.  Will China via North Korea pull out one more global Jenga piece?  Once events are set in motion, Inertia becomes impossible to stop.  We are descending every day into bigger and more Novel situations in all facets of our lives.  Maybe that was what The Tipping Point was about.

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Forgotten About The Very Real Threat From North Korea?

N. Korea fires artillery onto S. Korean island; one soldier killed This is hours old, and huge. Potential for escalation is great. It's all beginning to happen at once, eh?

Well, That Was Quick, Ireland Edition

Irish PM is forced to agree to dissolve government. Holy Crap! Excerpts in italics:

Amid calls for his immediate resignation from at least two MPs in his own Fianna Fail party and the withdrawal of support from coalition partners the Green Party, Prime Minister Brian Cowen was forced on Monday to announce the pending dissolution of his government.
..
The turmoil and political uncertainty following a bailout that was meant to bring stability has done little to calm markets; despite hopes the package would ease Ireland’s debt crisis, borrowing costs barely budged and the euro declined in the markets Monday. This has heightened concerns among European leaders that the rescue has failed and that further bailouts may be needed to prevent a run on Portuguese and Spanish banks and bond markets.

Hours after the European Union and the Washington-based International Monetary Fund negotiated an €85-billion bailout-loan package on Sunday, the Green Party, which holds the balance of seats that allows Mr. Cowen’s Fianna Fail to govern, delivered a poison-pill announcement: it will pass the brutal austerity measures required as part of the bailout, but at the cost of killing the government.

Green Leader John Gormley, expressing the views of increasingly furious Irish citizens, said he would allow the government to pass a four-year program to slash a further €15-billion from government spending through tax hikes and service cuts in the Dec. 7 budget bill. But he demanded a national election in January in return, a move that will almost certainly end the career of Mr. Cowen and possibly eviscerate his party.
And:
The allies of the Prime Minister, or Taoiseach, wasted little time in delivering the long knives on Monday, distancing themselves from a leader who has infuriated voters by insisting for weeks that Ireland’s sovereignty would be kept intact – and by keeping Ireland’s low 12.5-per-cent corporate tax in place while raising taxes and slashing welfare.

Let the protests begin!

And, because it's Ireland, the Real IRA's gonna kick it up a few notches..

The speed of this whole process has been so much faster than any "mainstream" analyst dreamed it could be.. Last week, a bailout was proposed and implemented, and yesterday, it failed. And Ireland begins a descent into.. No one knows. And the pace of these events is accelerating..

Portugal's next(Oops!). Then Spain. And Italy? And then?

Pay close attention: History is being made right before our eyes.

Monday, November 22, 2010

Opposition Claims Government Understated Debt And Deficit Figures By About 25%

This time; It's Portugal. And Payback. And Twice The VanDamage..(Thanks, Janeane Garafalo)

Portugal, it seems, has a different set of problems than Ireland. Here's how: (from the Payback link..)

Ireland’s government has money, but its banks are drowning in debt, and the government has vowed to guarantee debts, making the state itself vulnerable. Portugal’s problem is different. Its banks are not especially troubled, but the state itself has high debts and low growth, and the mound of both public and private debt is considerable. The total debt is larger than the annual gross domestic product, some $275 billion of debt in an economy of $232 billion a year, one of the highest ratios in the developed world.
And:
So the interest rates Portugal would have to pay on the markets, should it have to borrow money now, would be much too high, forcing it to seek money from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund. The government here, as in Dublin, hopes the markets will calm down. But other European Union governments are concerned that unless the markets are appeased now, by protecting Ireland and Portugal, the contagion will spread to huge Spain, the fourth largest economy among the countries that use the euro.

The more I learn about this crisis, the more I tend to believe the worst possible outcomes will actually occur. There aren't any general answers applicable to more than one country, as economic circumstances will be country wide, but not regional. Solutions that appeal to both France and Germany would financially cripple or kill other EU countries. The solutions will be complex and incredibly painful for the weakest countries, and protests and riots are almost sure to follow. And still, the system will most likely collapse.

To drive the point home.. So, if the EU fractures, what sort of effect will it have here in America? Our financial structures And our government are both perilously close to collapse, and locked in tight with all of Europe. How could we possibly absorb the implosion of so many economically interwoven allies? How?

Hubble Ultra Deep Field 3D

Amazing and humbling video of a scientific "gamble" researchers made by pointing the Hubble Telescope at an "empty" part of space. The resulting pictures and 3D rendering show otherwise. We as humans cannot and will not ever be able to grasp the scale of the Universe, the expanse of Infinite, or the concept of Heaven, as it relates to an Infinite Universe.. These pictures prove that.

And we will continue to grasp, struggling.
And we will continue to struggle, grasping..

Thank You!

For the first time ever, Sense and Antisense hit 1000 page views this month.  For others, this isn't a big milestone, as some sites I visit have over 1000 visitors at that moment.  But, for me, this is a really nice first step.  So, thanks for stopping by.  I hope you enjoyed your stay.  Come by again soon, as I'm sure to be freaking out over some thing or another..

The 19 Senators Who Voted To Censor The Internet

From Aletho News:

Patrick J. Leahy — Vermont
Herb Kohl — Wisconsin
Jeff Sessions — Alabama
Dianne Feinstein — California
Orrin G. Hatch — Utah
Russ Feingold — Wisconsin
Chuck Grassley — Iowa
Arlen Specter — Pennsylvania
Jon Kyl — Arizona
Chuck Schumer — New York
Lindsey Graham — South Carolina
Dick Durbin — Illinois
John Cornyn — Texas
Benjamin L. Cardin — Maryland
Tom Coburn — Oklahoma
Sheldon Whitehouse — Rhode Island
Amy Klobuchar — Minnesota
Al Franken — Minnesota
Chris Coons — Delaware
Aletho states effectively:
This law takes down entire websites based on the government’s say-so. First Amendment protections make clear that if you are going to stop any specific speech, it has to be extremely specific speech. This law has no such restrictions. It’s really quite unfortunate that these 19 US Senators are the first American politicians to publicly vote in favor of censoring speech in America.

Ooohhh.. Next stop: Totalitarian dystopia, but no one will know it because those who know won't be around(prison, dead, or exile), or won't be allowed to say anything(prison, dead, exile, or censored).

Sunday, November 21, 2010

Seriously, He Couldn't Have Been *That* Surprised. Or, Could He?

Man in quiet California town focus of terror hysteria. This article starts off innocently enough(just like Larry Coppello's Friday..)

Washington - Larry Copello went to work at his tiny machine shop in a small town nestled in the foothills of California's Sierra Nevada mountains, having no idea Friday would be no ordinary day.

The telephone began ringing. Dozens of news organizations in the United States and around the world had questions.

Suddenly, Copello found himself at the centre of the terrorism hysteria that began Wednesday in the southern African country of Namibia, swept Thursday through Germany, and eventually led back to his little garage shop in Sonora, a town of 4,000 people near Yosemite National Park.

We then find out:
..The scare started with a fake bomb made four years ago at Copello's company by none other than his then 80-year- old mother-in-law, Copello revealed in a telephone interview Friday with the German Press Agency dpa.
..
Copello's company is in the business of making suitcases that contain detonators, batteries and wires that are designed to look like bombs. His firm of three employees makes the devices for government agencies who use the dummies to train security personnel on how to spot suspicious items in X-ray scanners at airports.

But when one of his devices was left behind at Namibia's Windhoek airport among luggage bound for Munich, it sparked a terrorism scare. That scare hit hard in Germany, which had already been on high alert over unrelated intelligence warnings that a possible terrorist attack was in the works.
And:
"I am overwhelmed with all the talking to people about this," he told dpa. "What I don't understand is the power of the Internet and how one little thing can be all over the Earth. That to me is kind of frightening."

When Copello, who said he doesn't even use email, was told of one Internet headlines in Germany that read "The mysterious suitcase of Larry Copello," he replied: "Oh, my God."

At first, I thought his surprise was in reaction his fake bomb caught up in a terror scare. Are there any real bombs ever used? If there are real bombs involved, it's usually called "terrorism," then, right?

But now, it seems to be his shock is purely over global reach of the Internet. I think he had no idea that his company would be so "Globally Outed" (Not to say they were guilty of anything, mind you..) in connection this week's Namibia/Germany scare. Maybe it was a realization that, for a few news cycles maybe, his anonymity is gone, and that a whole lot of people, who he doesn't and can never fully know of, know who he is, where he is, and enough to about him to form an opinion with the little information they have.

To a man decoupled enough from technology to not have email (Email, for God's sake!), the awareness that people worldwide were discussing him could be unsettling, off-putting, or full blown terrifying. Larry Copello, meet the Internet; Internet, meet Larry Copello..

.. But You Knew That Already, Didn't You?

Humans do have psychic powers, study claims.. Obsequious, purple, and clairvoyant excerpts in italics:

In one experiment, students were given a list of words to memorise which they were later asked to recall, before being given a selection of the words to type out.

The volunteers were able to recall some words more easily than others – which tended to be those that they would later be asked to type. (I think the list in question was made up of pre-selected words..)

In another experiment, the students were shown an image of two curtains on a computer screen and told to pick the one that concealed an erotic picture. They chose the correct curtain more often than could be explained by coincidence, Prof Bem claims.

The position of the picture was randomly determined by a computer after the students made their decision, which Prof Bem views as evidence that the students were influencing future events.
(Notice the similarities to properties of quantum physics? Observation/Interaction influences outcome..)

Joachim Krueger, a US psychologist, said the claim that humans may have psychic powers is “ridiculous” but admitted that, having examined Prof Bem’s methodology, “frankly, everything seemed to be in good order”.

What might we have learned? That Psychic Activity is both innate, and in some way, relate able to quantum physics. Which is cooler: That this potential is within us all, or that the paranormal now has links to avant garde mathematical theory? It's a tie, nerds, but then you knew that too, didn't you?