Showing posts with label NYMEX silver jpm. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NYMEX silver jpm. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 4, 2011

Silver: Wait For It.. Wait For It..

This isn't advice for you to act upon, but personally, I'm still a firm buy/hold.  Silver will prevail.  So pop some popcorn and get comfortable before the movie starts..


Commodity prices rise with global issues in flux  Second week of April.


Investors poured money into oil, metals and agricultural products despite the uncertainty of what may lie ahead for the United States, Europe's financial problems and uprisings in Libya and neighboring countries.



An added incentive was a weaker dollar. Commodities are priced in dollars so a weaker dollar makes them more appealing to investors using other currencies.


Gold Settles Above $1,557, Silver Off Lows After Bin Laden  CNBC.  Excerpts:


Silver [XAG=  42.16    0.52  (+1.25%)   ] was down 2 percent at $46.86 an ounce, having fallen as much as $5 to a two-week low of $42.58.


Silver's sell-off began last week when U.S. futures margin requirements were raised twice, and as the metal's failure to extend record highs above $50 an ounce triggered technical selling. Trade data also showed speculators had scaled back their bullish bets recently.


Silver tumbled as much as 11 percent, its steepest fall since late 2008, hit by increased margins for futures trading and a technical overhang after a 170 percent rally over the last 12 months to a record high last week.


"News about Osama and the 13 percent margin increase the second in a week (Read:  Moving the Goalposts..) — hit the market at the worst possible time," said Ole Hansen, senior manager at Saxo Bank. "Also,(there was) news Friday evening that professionals scaled back silver exposure by 26 percent as of last Tuesday.


"We are seeing volatility at an unprecedented level here," he said.

Kitco chart from Urban Survival.

Silver's Shine Is Fading Fast  CNBC.

Silver's shine is fading fast, and the market for the precious metal may have reached a top in a speculative, mad dash by ETF investors.

"The last move higher over the last month or so has really been driven by the strength of the retail investment demand, so the levels up here are not supported," said Suki Cooper, precious metals analyst with Barclays Capital.

"At levels above $40, we've seen some concern rising on the industrial demand side. The last leg higher has been investment-driven, rather than fundamentally supported. In that respect, the correction was due. I would say from a demand support point of view, we have levels that have been tested in other metals, but we haven't had a chance to test that in silver," said Cooper.  "I think now prices are going to test where physical support comes in." 

All of which presumes the Dollar will remain at least stable or gain in strength.  So when the Dollar inevitably seizes, precious metals will spike with the rapidity the word "spike" infers.  Again, not advice, but I'm not going anywhere..

Thursday, March 24, 2011

Will JPMorgan Now Make and Take 'Delivery' of Its Own Silver Shorts?

From Seeking AlphaExcerpts:

There is nothing inherently wrong and certainly nothing "illegal" about J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM) gaining a vault license for storing and taking delivery of gold/silver/platinum/palladium from the futures markets known as NYMEX/COMEX. However, the speed, timing and manner in which the exchanges just granted it troubles us.
The process of being approved as a licensed vault or weigh-master/assayer for the NYMEX/COMEX futures exchange usually involves a careful security inspection of the vaults, a full report of that inspection, and a completely transparent package submitted to the U.S. Commodity Futures Exchange Commission (CFTC) for approval. This process will ordinarily consume considerably more than 45 days. Apparently, such correct and careful practices apply only to banks and independent storage facilities that are not J.P. Morgan Chase.
Some vault operators are more equal than others. JPM appears immune from processes that everyone else must suffer through. On March 15, 2011, the Commodity Exchange (COMEX) and the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) advised the CFTC that they had approved .P. Morgan's application to become a licensed vault facility, using a "self-certification" process. The newly licensed vault, located at 1 Chase Manhattan Plaza, NY, NY, is ready to roll as both “weighmaster” and depository, for delivery of gold, silver, platinum and palladium contracts, as of March 17, 2011, two days later.

Silver's prospects in the near term..

Kitco chart(and where I found the previous article) courtesy Urban Survival.

Silver surged above $37 an ounce to a 31 year high  From FXStreet.com.  Excerpts:

Precious Metals: Gold rose for a sixth consecutive session as prices neared a record high. Spot gold’s record high of $1444.40 an ounce was set on March 7 previously. Unrest in Libya and the Middle East and Europe’s lingering debt crisis spurred demand for the precious metal as an alternative investment. Record low U.S. new home sales also increased speculation of extended central banks' accommodative policies. Silver surged above $37 an ounce to a 31 year high. Year to date, silver has outperformed gold, gaining over 20% compared to gold that is up just 1%.

Bullish momentum favoring gold, silver  From Commodity Online.  Excerpts:

Chart considerations suggest more upside for gold and silver, says BNP Paribas technical analyst Andrew Chaveriat. Spot silver hit a fresh 31-year high Wednesday.

“Bullish momentum favors a rise to $38.62 mega long-term resistance (76.4% retracement of the structural 1980-1993 decline) and perhaps the $40.00 psychological barrier,” Chaveriat says in a research note.

With everything happening all at once, don't forget to keep an eye on commodities.  It's a very important bellwether.