Showing posts with label eu crisis response. Show all posts
Showing posts with label eu crisis response. Show all posts

Thursday, June 21, 2012

Europe’s train-wreck and the inevitable collapse of the global economy

Dark, yes;  But Doomy?  Yes, well; That too..  The Economic Collapse, via The Extinction Protocol.  First and last paragraphs:

June 20, 2012 – ECONOMY – Yes, it is officially time to start freaking out about the global economy. The European financial system is falling apart and it is going to go down hard. If Europe was going to be saved, it would have happened by now. The big money insiders have already pulled their funds from vulnerable positions and they are ready to ride the coming chaos out. Over the next few months, the slow motion train-wrecks currently unfolding in Europe will continue to play out and things will likely really start really heating up in the fall, once summer vacations are over.
And:  Restated for effect.. 
 German Chancellor Angela Merkel has declared that Germany will not budge at all on the terms of the Greek bailout. If you are looking for some kind of a global financial miracle; you can stop watching. If European leaders had a master plan to save Europe, they would have shown it by now. The entire house of cards is starting to come down and things are going to get really messy.  A lot of people both in the United States and in Europe are going to lose their jobs and their homes over the next few years. It is likely that the next recession will be even more painful than the last one was.

Our global financial inter-connected-ness will come as a big shock to many people.  Also shocking will be the lack of preventative monetary firewalls that could have averted this looming crisis.

Hey!  You live; You learn!; You know?

Thursday, October 20, 2011

Global Economic Collapse: Validation and Better Perception Edition

Revealed – the capitalist network that runs the world  New Scientist.  Excerpts:

AS PROTESTS against financial power sweep the world this week, science may have confirmed the protesters' worst fears. An analysis of the relationships between 43,000 transnational corporations has identified a relatively small group of companies, mainly banks, with disproportionate power over the global economy.

The study's assumptions have attracted some criticism, but complex systems analysts contacted by New Scientist say it is a unique effort to untangle control in the global economy. Pushing the analysis further, they say, could help to identify ways of making global capitalism more stable.



The idea that a few bankers control a large chunk of the global economy might not seem like news to New York's Occupy Wall Street movement and protesters elsewhere. But the study, by a trio of complex systems theorists at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich, is the first to go beyond ideology to empirically identify such a network of power. It combines the mathematics long used to model natural systems with comprehensive corporate data to map ownership among the world's transnational corporations (TNCs).


"Reality is so complex, we must move away from dogma, whether it's conspiracy theories or free-market," says James Glattfelder. "Our analysis is reality-based."


Previous studies have found that a few TNCs own large chunks of the world's economy, but they included only a limited number of companies and omitted indirect ownerships, so could not say how this affected the global economy - whether it made it more or less stable, for instance.


The Zurich team can. From Orbis 2007, a database listing 37 million companies and investors worldwide, they pulled out all 43,060 TNCs and the share ownerships linking them. Then they constructed a model of which companies controlled others through shareholding networks, coupled with each company's operating revenues, to map the structure of economic power.


The work, to be published in PloS One, revealed a core of 1318 companies with interlocking ownerships (see image). Each of the 1318 had ties to two or more other companies, and on average they were connected to 20. What's more, although they represented 20 per cent of global operating revenues, the 1318 appeared to collectively own through their shares the majority of the world's large blue chip and manufacturing firms - the "real" economy - representing a further 60 per cent of global revenues.


When the team further untangled the web of ownership, it found much of it tracked back to a "super-entity" of 147 even more tightly knit companies - all of their ownership was held by other members of the super-entity - that controlled 40 per cent of the total wealth in the network. "In effect, less than 1 per cent of the companies were able to control 40 per cent of the entire network," says Glattfelder. Most were financial institutions. The top 20 included Barclays Bank, JPMorgan Chase & Co, and The Goldman Sachs Group.

Marketwatch warns EU banks will crash Wall Street  The Extinction Protocol.  Excerpts:

..the raging European monetary collapse will ripple through America’s banking system, completing the 2008 meltdown that never ended because Wall Street fought all reforms. But now, a bigger meltdown as history repeats a dangerous cycle like the 1929 Crash and Great Depression. History will also deal a fatal blow to Wall Street.
..
Weiss’s worst-case scenario highlights everything we’ve both been warning investors about for a long time. The 2008 meltdown never ended, lessons never learned. But now the end game is accelerating. Listen closely: Weiss final warning to all investors: “Get all or most of your money out of danger immediately … above all, stay safe!” Prepare for the coming bank collapse. And discover how this historic scenario will empower the Occupiers message to get money out of elections: “One citizen. One dollar. One vote.”

This crisis continues to gather strength and speed at a truly astonishing pace.  Critical Mass hasn't occurred, but simple observation assumes that status could change at any moment, or for a few more days, weeks, maybe months.  In what form will the Global Economic Body Blow take?

The Big Picture becomes a bit more clear, and a lot more fearsome.  It's coming.. 

Thursday, March 24, 2011

Portugal Rejects Budget: Government Collapses, Prime Minister Resigns. Europe Gasps Simultaneously..

Portuguese Premier Resigns After Austerity Is Rejected. 

Portuguese Prime Minister Jose Socrates submitted his resignation Wednesday after parliament rejected his minority Socialist government's latest austerity measures.

The rejection "had taken away from the government all conditions to govern," Socrates said in a televised statement. He said his government would remain in power in a caretaker capacity.

The parliament's rejection of austerity measures—as well as Socrates' resignation—comes just a day before a European summit.

Socrates has said rejection of the austerity plan would force the debt-laden country to follow Greece and Ireland and seek an international bailout, which he opposes.

Brendan Keenan: Kenny will have to pull new plan out of bag as chaos descends  From The Independent.ie..

ENDA Kenny packed his bags for one EU summit in Brussels, but it looks as though he will be attending a very different one.


As the old political saying has it, events have taken over. The plans of EU leaders have been thrown into disarray by even more bad news from Ireland's banks; the imminent collapse of Portugal's government; and stern resistance to bigger bailouts from those flinty Finns.

Mr Kenny's stated purpose at the meeting -- to secure a reduction in the interest rate on the €80bn EU/IMF rescue fund -- now looks irrelevant. Instead, according to reports in Brussels, there may be a special summit as early as next week just to deal with Ireland's difficulties.

The reason seems to be that new estimates for losses at the Irish banks are going to be worse than even the €35bn allowed for in the EU-IMF loan package could cover. These "stress test" figures are not due until next week, but it may be that they will render the original plan unworkable.

EU leaders to delay eurozone rescue deal  From Euractiv.com.  Excerpts:

A government collapse in Portugal and political tensions in other member states means EU leaders are set to postpone until June a decision to reform the euro zone and boost the bloc's bailout facility as they meet for a crucial economic summit in Brussels today and tomorrow (24-25 March).

Today's summit has long been sold as a deadline for leaders to sign off on a swathe of economic reforms including boosting guarantees for its temporary bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), which has already been used for Greece and Ireland.

It was also branded as the summit that will finalise a permanent rescue fund after 2013 - the European Stability Mechanism.

But in light of recent political developments in Portugal, Finland and Germany, both of these goals have been put in jeopardy, EU diplomats say.
And:
Adding to the euro zone's woes, Germany put the brakes on a deal for the ESM on Wednesday as it revealed it could not foot payments it had committed to make in 2013. And Finland said it would resist raising the EFSF's ceiling before elections scheduled on 17 April.

"Those providing the guarantees cannot, and those who may soon need a bailout may not be able to request one," an EU diplomat said yesterday, alluding to Finnish resistance to the EFSF and a political meltdown in Portugal preventing it from requesting a bailout.

There will be many more headlines regarding Europe's economy--soon.